Friday, March 30, 2007

 

Trading Signals of the Day


Bullish Reversal Triggers






Reversal bars are an objective technique used to time the entry of a trade
. Read More... http://daily-stocks.netfirms.com/daily-trading-triggers.htm

 
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Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Consolidations





Sideways Movement Gives Indication of Future Price Direction

A consolidation is a place where buyers and sellers are very closely matched in numbers. As the battle ensues, others notice that the market is consolidating, and begin considering to get on board. As soon as a break from the consolidation occurs, the latent buyers or sellers usually begin taking positions.

Read More...

 
NASDAQ Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems




UTIW got a big downside break via a breakaway gap through a major lower trend line at 28.00, which is highly bearish. Look for more selling pressure, as the trend looks to have changed to favor the bears in this chart.

Daily Trading Signals

 
NYSE Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems




PTV has pulled back 38% from the July to January rally and looks to be pushing higher from this level, which is bullish in a longer term sense. Look for strength above 35.00 for more strength.

Daily Trading Signals

 
Daily Market Commentary
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Updated Thursday, 3/29 for Friday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 3/30

UP

Above 12,400

DN

Below 12,250


Round Trip...

- Dow drops steadily throughout session, reverses and rallies to the Close. The index closed the day with a 48 point gain and continues to hold at the key 12,350 fulcrum, which we will watch closely.

- The NASDAQ and S&P each rallied late in the day after beginning the session in a very weak manner. The indexes continue to hold within the current four-day downtrend, which we will watch for a continuation or a change in trend.

Summary

The Dow ended the day with a nice rally to spark a little bit of strength just before the Close. If the index can remain above 12,250, we could see strength through 12,400 tomorrow. Otherwise, 12,250 will lead to more selling pressure.

Read More...

Thursday, March 29, 2007

 

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Trading Ideas & Picks

General Dynamics Corp - GD - Ascending channel

GD: Stock has been trading within the confined range of an ascending channel. Directional Momentum indicators have recently created a signal that is suggesting the bears are taking control of the momentum. This crossover will be used by traders to signal the beginning of a new short-term downtrend...

Trading Picks - Read More

 
Trading Ideas & Picks

Swing Trade of the Week

WYNN: Stock ended a nice MA uptrend with a crossover down and is now coming off a countertrend move up to the Downtrending MAs. Look to establish a short at 96.74 or higher...

Trading Ideas - Read More

 
Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Volume Climax




Volume Helps Identify Reversals

Various price patterns can alert us to potential reversal candidates. Trendline Breaks, Support and Resistance Levels, Fibonacci Retracement Levels and other price information are valuable in determining a change in direction for a security. However, one of the most overlooked chart patterns that help us determine reversals is not reflected in the price itself. Volume climaxes are easily identifiable and valuable in assessing a change in market sentiment.

Read More...

 
NASDAQ Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems




ANGO got a big downside break through key support at 20.00 via a big breakaway gap an increased volume, which is highly bearish. Look for more weakness from this stock.

Daily Trading Signals

 
NYSE Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems




UIS has built out a large head-and-shoulders pattern with an upward-sloping neck line, which could be highly bearish. A break of the neck line at 8.00 could spark heavy selling in this stock.

Daily Trading Signals

 
Daily Market Commentary
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Updated Wednesday, 3/28 for Thursday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 3/28

UP

Above 12,525

DN

Below 12,250


Drop & Hold...

- Dow sells off early, holds near lows in repeat of yesterday's action. The index basically resembled that of yesterday's session, with each day beginning with a decline and ending with a consolidation. Watch today's consolidaton for tomorrow's activity.

- The NASDAQ and S&P each took a big decline at the Open, followed by sideways-to-down movement the rest of the day. Look for more bearish movement beneath the key fulcrum levels.

Summary

The Dow closed the day near the lows of the session after trading basically sideways after the morning decline. The index is now holding beneath the 12,350 fulcrum, which indicates we could be headed lower tomorrow. Watch this zone for key direction tomorrow.

Read More...

Wednesday, March 28, 2007

 

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Technical Indicators

Detrended Price Oscillator

The Detrended Price Oscillator is a tool that smoothes the trend in prices, allowing you to more easily identify cycles and overbought/oversold levels.

If you think of long-term cycles as made up of a series of short-term cycles, then analyzing these shorter term components can be helpful in identifying major turning points...

Read More...

 
Pattern Cycles: Breakouts

Significant declines evolve into long bottoms characterized by failed rallies and retesting of prior lows. As new accumulation slowly shakes out the last crowd of losers, a stock's character changes. Prices push toward the top of key resistance. Short-term relative strength improves and the chart exhibits a series of bullish price bars with closing ticks near their highs. Finally the issue begins a steady march through the wall marked with past failures.

Stocks must overcome gravity to enter new uptrends. Value players build bases but can't supply the critical force needed to fuel rallies. Fortunately, the momentum crowd arrives just in time to fill this chore. As a stock slowly rises above resistance, greed rings a loud bell and these growth players jump in all at the same time
...

Read More...

 
Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Trendline Breaks





When is a Trend Truly Broken?

The importance of trendlines cannot be overstated when it comes to technical analysis. We are told to trade with the primary trend, exit when the trend reverses, enter on trend reversals, and so on. Trends are easy enough to identify, but when is a trend actually broken?

Read More...

 
Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Trendline Breaks





When is a Trend Truly Broken?

The importance of trendlines cannot be overstated when it comes to technical analysis. We are told to trade with the primary trend, exit when the trend reverses, enter on trend reversals, and so on. Trends are easy enough to identify, but when is a trend actually broken?

Read More...

 
NASDAQ Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems




ACLS has risen back to key resistance at 7.90, which has held firmly since it topped out at this level last Fall. Watch this zone for a key break or bounce for the next big move.

Daily Trading Signals

 
NYSE Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems




SPN has trended back up to critical resistance at 36.00, which has been the point of sale for traders since last Spring. If the stock cannot rise above 36.00, we could see another easy decline back toward the 28.00 level.

Daily Trading Signals

 
Daily Market Commentary
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Updated Tuesday, 3/27 for Wednesday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 3/28

UP

Above 12,525

DN

Below 12,350


Holding...

- Dow sells off early, holds near lows throughout session. The index closed just off the day's lows with a 72 point loss, but continues to build out above key resistance.

- The NASDAQ and S&P each sold off today, but continue to build out within larger consolidation ranges. Continue to watch these patterns, as a breakout could spark big directional movement.

Summary

The Dow ended the day within a tight consolidation that has formed at the day's lows from 12,380 to 12,420. Watch this zone for early direction tomorrow morning. However, a breakout from the larger consolidation will likely dictate medium term direction.

Read More...

 

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Tuesday, March 27, 2007

 
Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Measured and Exhaustion Gaps




Identifiable Patterns After Confirmation Move

We have previously mentioned the three types of gaps that are of relevance to investors - the breakaway gap, the measured (or continuation) gap, and the exhaustion gap. We previously discussed the breakaway gap, but it is important to discuss the measured gap and exhaustion gap at the same time. Why? Because it is difficult to tell one from the other until after the fact.

Read More...

 
NASDAQ Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems




RATE has built out a large head-and-shoulders pattern that has a clear neck line (support) at 34.00. A break of this zone could really spark heavy selling back toward the 25.00 zone.

Daily Trading Signals

 
NYSE Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems




ABT got a big breakout move out of a solid consolidation that has formed at the highs of the overall advance. Today's breakout is highly bullish and could lead to much more strength ahead.

Daily Trading Signals

 
Trading Ideas & Picks

Weekly Market Recap March 19th - March 23rd

The longer term trend is down. The market surged above the 20 day EMA today raising a slight red flag to the current downtrend. The short term trend is sideways to up, which is confirmed with Daily prices above the 5 day EMA and Stochastics in an uptrend. Despite this assessment, we do temper our enthusiasm for any large moves to the upside due to the overall downtrending Daily chart ...

Trading Picks - Read More

 
Trading Ideas & Picks

The QQQQ Report forMarch 26th - March 30th - February's Gap Is In Play

QQQQ: The bulls were able to push the index toward the bottom of the gap, near $44.50. Many traders wonder whether the QQQQ will be able to overcome this resistance. The chart below is a good example of the battle between the bulls and the bears; so far, it doesn't seem like either party has an upper hand...

Trading Picks - Read More

 
Trading Ideas & Picks

Weekly Swing Ideas Report for March 26th - March 30th

Stock Picks - Long and Short Potential Swing Candidates ... SwingTracker Scans: Trading Window, Force Swings (ODP Office Depot, KMX CarMax Inc, EXC Exelon Corp, DE Deere & Co, ZMH Zimmer Holdings), Triangle (IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index Tr, JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co, AMZN Amazon.com Inc, SMH Semiconductor HOLDRsTr, RSH RadioShack Corp), Revival, Reverse (CBS CBS Corp B, SCSS Select Comfort, GDI Gardner Denver), and more...

Trading Ideas - Read More

 
Daily Market Commentary
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Updated Monday, 3/26 for Tuesday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 3/27

UP

Above 12,525

DN

Below 12,350


Round Trip...

- Dow sells off sharply at Open, reverses slowly to the Close. The index was able to hold its ground above the key 12,350 fulcrum and took a double-bottom reversal back toward the day's open to end the session with a relatively mild 12 point loss.

- The NASDAQ and S&P each recovered early losses today, but continue to hold beneath key resistance. Watch these ranges closely for direction.

Summary

The Dow closed the day well off the day's lows, as the index did a solid job of taking back early losses. The index is now bouncing around within the boundaries of 12,350 and 12,500, which is the next key range to watch for key directional movement.

Read More...

Monday, March 26, 2007

 
Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Reward:Risk Ratio




Assessing a Trades Potential

When looking at a stock to buy, we look to various tools and techniques to help us assess the probability of its upward movement. However, will it go up is not the only question to ask - we also need to analyze the chart to see how far it is likely to go up and also how much of a loss we are willing to take to allow it to reach it's profit potential. The potential profit of a trade divided by the potential loss of trade is known as the Reward:Risk Ratio.

Read More...

 
NASDAQ Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems




SIMG got a big bounce at major support at 8.00 today, which is a level that has held up firmly since last summer. Look for more strength from this zone.

Daily Trading Signals

 
NYSE Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems




ADM is winding up within a large consolidation range that has continued to build out over the last five months. Watch 36.75 and 33.50 for a potential breakout.

Daily Trading Signals

 
Daily Market Commentary
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Updated Friday, 3/23 for Monday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 3/26

UP

Above 12,525

DN

Below 12,400


Holding Gains...

- Dow maintains stance within tight consolidation, holds at overall highs. The index closed with a 20 point gain and continues to hold near the overall highs of the latest rally that began at 11,950.

- The NASDAQ and S&P each traded quietly sideways throughout the day and continue to build out their respective ranges. Look for more consolidating behavior ahead of the next move.

Summary

The Dow continues to consolidate at highs above major resistance, which is bullish. Look for more range development ahead of the next key breakout move.

Read More...

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