Friday, December 01, 2006
Then this is your Opportunity
Ultimate Trading Machine
UTM is brand new and exciting trading tool. Forex and E-mini's are the hottest markets today.
If you'd like to know what works, and what doesn't, common myths busted for good, the top Q&A active traders are burning to know the answers to and much more, you need to see this. No other way to put it.
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Pressure Helps Identify Movers
Gaps occur when there is a dramatic change in market conditions. They can occur at the beginning of a trading session (i.e. most NASDAQ stocks) or even during the session itself. There are three types of gaps that are of interest to us when we analyze charts: breakaway, measured (also known as continuation) and exhaustion gaps. Today we will discuss the breakaway gap.
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Daily Trading Signals
Daily Trading Signals
Updated Thursday, 11/30 for Friday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 12/1 | |
P | Above 12,300 |
DN | Below 12,175 |
Slow Uptrend...
- The NASDAQ and S&P each trended slowly higher from lows today, but are currently holding within highly bearish consolidations. Watch these ranges closely tomorrow.
Summary
The Dow closed the day just off the session's highs, but continues to build out a potentially bearish pennant consolidation, which we will watch closely tomorrow. A downside break through the bottom of this pattern at 12,175 could be big for bears. Watch 12,300 for continued near-term strength.
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Thursday, November 30, 2006
S&P500 Cash Video - did you avoid this drop?
Did you see what the S&P 500 Cash market did this week? After a nonstop bullish run since mid-July, it fell on 11/27, Monday.
Now, many traders may not have seen this coming. However, select traders that understand how to identify "divergences" in the market could have either closed out their long positions or entered into a short position right before this happened.
If you're not familiar with divergence trading, you need to be. It doesn't happen often, but when it does, it's like discovering hidden trading opportunities, because most traders just flat out don't use this method.
Check out this short video that shows you how a step-by-step divergence method predicted this drop in the S&P 500 Cash market before it happened:
- How SDB predicted the drop on the S&P 500
P.S. - Most trading courses don't teach divergence trading... so when you learn a good divergence trading method, you can add it to just about any trend-following course or method you're currently using... Or, you can just trade divergences on their own. It's like having another tool in your trading "toolkit". Enjoy this video and learn how to add divergence trading to YOUR toolkit today. » Super Divergence Blueprint FREE Video...
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Identifiable Patterns After Confirmation Move
We have previously mentioned the three types of gaps that are of relevance to investors - the breakaway gap, the measured (or continuation) gap, and the exhaustion gap. We previously discussed the breakaway gap, but it is important to discuss the measured gap and exhaustion gap at the same time. Why? Because it is difficult to tell one from the other until after the fact.
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Daily Trading Signals
Daily Trading Signals
Updated Wednesday, 11/29 for Thursday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 11/30 | |
P | Above 12,250 |
DN | Below 12,150 |
Upside Break...
- The NASDAQ and S&P each each pushed higher today, but the tech-heavy index clearly lagged the broader market. Each index has formed a higher low within the current buying spree from yesterday's lows, which indicates continued strength.
Summary
The Dow closed the day with a solid gain after breaking through and holding above the key 12,150 fulcrum. Continued near-term strength should be seen above this level, unless a violation occurs.
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If the Vertical Horizon Filter is rising, this may indicate a trend is forming. The higher the indicator, the better other trend-following indicators will work. Falling values may indicate that prices may be falling out of the trend and entering a congestion phase (the stock trades within a certain price range without much net up or down movement).
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Volume Helps Identify Reversals
Various price patterns can alert us to potential reversal candidates. Trendline Breaks, Support and Resistance Levels, Fibonacci Retracement Levels and other price information are valuable in determining a change in direction for a security. However, one of the most overlooked chart patterns that help us determine reversals is not reflected in the price itself. Volume climaxes are easily identifiable and valuable in assessing a change in market sentiment.
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Daily Trading Signals
Daily Trading Signals
Updated Tuesday, 11/28 for Wednesday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 11/29 | |
UP | Above 12,300 |
DN | Below 12,050 |
Holding...
- The NASDAQ and S&P each each pulled back from lows and have begun to build out large ranges. Look for further range development ahead of the next key breakout.
Summary
The Dow closed the day with a modest advance today and is now holding within the boundaries of a clear consolidation range. Look for more range activity, as the index continues to build out the potential continuation pattern.
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Tuesday, November 28, 2006
Moving Average, Triple Exponential
The Triple Exponential Moving Average (TRIX) is an oscillator used to identify oversold and overbought markets as well as a momentum indicator. For use as an oscillator look for a positive value to indicate an overbought market and a negative value indicate an oversold market. When TRIX is used as a momentum indicator, a positive value suggests increasing momentum just as a negative value suggests momentum is decreasing. Some believe that the TRIX crossing above the zero line is a buy signal and a closing below the zero line is a sell signal. Divergence between price and TRIX can also indicate significant turning points in the market.
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Moving Averages Help Us Identify Trend Reversals
One of the old axioms of technical analysis is that 'the trend is your friend'. This holds true, as long as you trade in the direction of the trend. However, your 'friend' has two faces, and can turn on you to eliminate profits (and your friendship!). Trend reversals can occur at any time and one of the important skills a trader must possess is the ability to identify a reversal. It is easy to exit a position too early if we over-anticipate a trend reversal, and just as easy to watch our profits evaporate if we are too slow to exit the trade.
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Daily Trading Signals
Daily Trading Signals
Updated Monday, 11/27 for Tuesday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 11/28 | |
UP | Above 12,375 |
DN | Below 12,050 |
Huge Decline...
- The NASDAQ and S&P each sold off heavily from recent highs and are now holding near lows not seen in two weeks. Look for the indexes to build out a potential continuation pattern before another big move occurs.
Summary
The Dow ended the day at the lows of the session after breaking through 12,250 in sound fashion. The index will likely build out a continuation pattern below 12,200 before another key move is seen.
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